Your Personal Trade Desk
A morning trade desk for ES/NQ futures and US equities — published three times a day, built on a quantitative pipeline that never invents a number.
Verracis is the output of a research engine that runs 17 years of market data, multiple macro regimes, walk-forward-validated signals, and a dealer-positioning fair value model, distilled into a single narrative every morning: here is the bias, here is the setup, here is the invalidation. Four daily reads — premarket (6:45 AM MT), post-IB (8:30 AM MT), afternoon (12:00 PM MT), and an end-of-day wrap at the 5pm ET settlement close (3:00 PM MT) — delivered straight to your browser.

What you get every morning

  • Daily Action verdict — TRADE, WAIT, or SKIP with a headline narrative and the historical edge behind it.
  • Today’s Setups — ES/NQ trade ideas with entry, stop, and targets anchored to validated levels. Every price traces back to a real level, never an LLM interpolation.
  • Stock Watchlist — top 10 ranked picks pulled from a 220-ticker scan, walk-forward validated per ticker, with the structure that fits each signal (credit spread / long ITM call / shares).
  • Smart Money Read — cross-sector options flow narrated with institutional-footprint context.
  • Track Record — every setup and pick logged and scored. Win rates published openly.

How it’s built

  • 17-year historical backtest across 6 market eras from the 2008 crisis through the post-0DTE regime shift of 2022.
  • Per-ticker walk-forward validation. No “X works on average” claims — every signal gated on out-of-sample win rate ≥ 55%, with a theta-aware option P&L check.
  • Regime-aware composite score combining GEX, macro, COT, correlation, smart money, VIX term structure, and prediction market into one weighted read.
  • Model E — our early-warning system for when the S&P 500 is stretched. Every morning it compares ES to a fair price implied by the broader market and flags the gap. When the gap is wide, history says ES tends to pull back — Model E tells you when that fade setup is live.
  • Cross-checked against live feeds — plan levels are sanity-checked against yfinance ground truth before they’re published. Any upstream drift is patched in place.

What makes it different

  • Honest numbers. Every price traces back to a validated level. Every historical statistic is the output of a walk-forward backtest — not something an LLM made up.
  • Direction-agnostic. Picks are ranked by edge, not balance. Some days have no shorts. Some days have six. We never engineer symmetry for its own sake.
  • Theta-aware. Stock-return backtests overstate option P&L. Every pick is gated on both.
  • Narrative, not automation. You get the read. You make the trade.

How the day flows

  • Premarket (6:45 AM MT). First read lands: Daily Action verdict, Today’s Setups, Key Levels, session-plan narrative.
  • Post-IB (8:30 AM MT). Second read rewrites the session plan with the first-hour auction behavior priced in.
  • Afternoon (12:00 PM MT). Third read captures the afternoon-session setup window and any intraday regime shifts.
  • End-of-day wrap (3:00 PM MT). Fourth read, published at the 5pm ET futures settlement close — final settled prices, final open interest, and the post-unwind dealer gamma snapshot. What worked today, key levels into overnight, candidate setups for tomorrow’s open, and the macro risks that would change them.
  • The header on every page shows the last-update and next-update timestamps so you always know how fresh the read is.
Sample Daily Action, Setups, and Watchlist tiles from recent sessions — coming soon.

Invitation Only

Verracis is currently in private beta. Four daily reads — session plans, trade setups, smart money flow, and an end-of-day wrap — are available to invited subscribers. Pay-to-play, hard cutoff, no trial without a promo code.

Invited members: sign in with your email

Today's Read

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Actionable Trades

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Context & Track Record

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